Lowe’s Companies, Inc.

Analyst Listing

The following analysts provide coverage for the subject firm as of May 2016:

Broker Analyst Analyst Email
Oppenheimer Brian Nagel brian.nagel@opco.com
Raymond James Budd Bugatch budd.bugatch@raymondjames.com
Jefferies Daniel Binder dbinder@jefferies.com
Consumer Edge Research David A. Schick dschick@consumeredgeresearch.com
Longbow Research David S. MacGregor dmacgregor@longbowresearch.com
Evercore ISI Greg Melich greg.melich@evercoreisi.com
Nomura Research Jessica A. Schoen jessica.schoen@nomura.com
Telsey Advisory Group Joseph Feldman jfeldman@telseygroup.com
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Keith Hughes keith.hughes@suntrust.com
Deutsche Bank Research Mike Baker michael.baker@db.com
Piper Jaffray Peter J. Keith peter.j.keith@pjc.com
Atlantic Equities Sam Hudson s.hudson@atlantic-equities.com
RBC Capital Markets Scot Ciccarelli scot.ciccarelli@rbccm.com
Wolfe Research Scott Mushkin smushkin@wolferesearch.com
Wedbush Securities Seth Basham seth.basham@wedbush.com
BMO Capital Markets Wayne Hood wayne.hood@bmo.com

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Primary Input Data

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Derived Input Data

Derived Input

Label

2015 Value

2016
Value

Equational Form

Net Operating Profit Less Adjusted Taxes NOPLAT  3,133  3,570 NOPLAT\, =\, EBIT\, x\, (1 \,-\, Avg \,\,Tax\,\, Rate\,\, on\,\, EBIT)
Free Cash Flow FCF 3,609 4,411 FCF\,=NOPLAT\,+\,Non-Cash\,Expenses-\Delta NWC\,-\,NCS
Tax Shield TS 194 107 TS\,=\,Interest\,\,Paid\,\,x\,\, Avg \,\,Tax\,\,Rate\,\, on\,\, Pre-Tax\,\, Income
Invested Capital IC 23,079 22,535 IC\,=\,Fixed\,\,Operating\,\,Assets\,\,+\,\,Net\,\, Working\,\, Capital
Return on Invested Capital ROIC 13.58%  15.84% ROIC\,=\,\frac { NOPLAT }{ IC }
Net Investment NetInv 1,936  1,044 NetInv\,=\,{ {IC}_{1}}-{{IC}_{0}}+Depreciation
Investment Rate IR 61.80% 29.23% IR\,=\,\frac {NetInv}{NOPLAT}
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
WACCMarket 23.98% 22.45% WACC\,=\,\frac { E }{ V } { R }_{ E }\,+\,\frac { P }{ V } { R }_{ P }\,+\,\frac { D }{ V } { R }_{ D }\left( 1- Avg\,\, Tax\,\,Rate\,\,on\,\,Pre-Tax\,\,Income \right)
 WACCBook   7.31%  7.62%
Enterprise value
EVMarket  77,699  78,067 EV\,=\,Market\,\,Cap\,\,Equity\,+\,\,Long\,\,Term\,\,Debt\,-\,Cash
 EVBook   75,956  77,063
Long-Run Growth
g = IR x ROIC
  8.39%  4.63% Long-run growth rates of the income variable are used in the Continuing Value portion of the valuation models.
g = % \Delta GDP   2.50%   2.50%
Margin from Operations M   8.57%   8.56% M\,\,=\,\,\frac{EBIT}{SALES}
Depreciation/Amortization Rate D  24.76%  22.43% D\,\,=\,\,\frac{D+A}{EBITDA}

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Valuation Multiple Outcomes

The outcomes presented in this study are the result of original input data, derived data, and synthesized inputs.

Equational Form

Observed Value

Single-stage

multiple g solution

Two-stage valuation

model g solution

12/31/2015 12/31/2016 12/31/2015 12/31/2016 12/31/2015 12/31/2016

EV/SALES 

\frac {EV}{Sales} \,= \,\frac{ROIC\,  -\,  g}{ROIC\,(WACC\,-\,g)}\,(1\,-\,T)\,(M)

1.38  1.22  28.38%  25.13%  25.41%  23.22%

EV/EBITDA

\frac {EV}{EBITDA} \,= \,\frac{ROIC\,  -\,  g}{ROIC\,(WACC\,-\,g)}\,(1\,-\,T)\,(1\,-\,D)

12.13 11.02 28.38% 25.13% 25.41% 23.22%

EV/NOPLAT

\frac {EV}{NOPLAT} \,= \,\frac{ROIC\,  -\,  g}{ROIC\,(WACC\,-\,g)}

24.80 21.86 28.38% 25.13% 25.41% 23.22%

EV/FCFOPS

\frac {EV}{FCF_{OPS}} \,= \,\frac{ROIC\,  -\,  g}{ROIC\,(WACC\,-\,g)}\,(1\,-\,T)

21.53 17.70 28.38% 25.13% 25.41% 23.22%

EV/EBIT

\frac {EV}{EBIT} \,= \,\frac{ROIC\,  -\,  g}{ROIC\,(WACC\,-\,g)}\,(1\,-\,T)

16.12 14.21 28.38% 25.13% 25.41% 23.22%

EV/IC

\frac {EV}{IC} \,= \,\frac{ROIC\,  -\,  g}{WACC\,-\,g}

3.37 3.36 28.38% 25.13% 25.41% 23.22%

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