Simon Property Group Inc.

Analyst Listing

The following analysts provide coverage for the subject firm as of May 2016:

Broker Analyst Analyst Email
Boenning & Scattergood Floris Van Dijkum fvandijkum@boenninginc.com
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Ki Bin Kim kibin.kim@suntrust.com
Jefferies Omotayo Okusanya tokusanya@jefferies.com
Canaccord Genuity Paul Morgan pmorgan@canaccordgenuity.com
RBC Capital Markets Rich C. Moore rich.moore@rbccm.com
Evercore ISI Steve Sakwa steve.sakwa@evercoreisi.com
Deutsche Bank Research Vin Chao vincent.chao@db.com

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Primary Input Data

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Derived Input Data

Derived Input

Label

2015 Value

2016
Value

Equational Form

Net Operating Profit Less Adjusted Taxes NOPLAT  1,134  1,211 NOPLAT\, =\, EBIT\, x\, (1 \,-\, Avg \,\,Tax\,\, Rate\,\, on\,\, EBIT)
Free Cash Flow FCF 2,825 3,107 FCF\,=NOPLAT\,+\,Non-Cash\,Expenses-\Delta NWC\,-\,NCS
Tax Shield TS 12 14 TS\,=\,Interest\,\,Paid\,\,x\,\, Avg \,\,Tax\,\,Rate\,\, on\,\, Pre-Tax\,\, Income
Invested Capital IC 27,722 31,104 IC\,=\,Fixed\,\,Operating\,\,Assets\,\,+\,\,Net\,\, Working\,\, Capital
Return on Invested Capital ROIC 4.09% 3.89% ROIC\,=\,\frac { NOPLAT }{ IC }
Net Investment NetInv (619) 4,629 NetInv\,=\,{ {IC}_{1}}-{{IC}_{0}}+Depreciation
Investment Rate IR  -54.57%  382.18% IR\,=\,\frac {NetInv}{NOPLAT}
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
WACCMarket 6.41% 5.13% WACC\,=\,\frac { E }{ V } { R }_{ E }\,+\,\frac { P }{ V } { R }_{ P }\,+\,\frac { D }{ V } { R }_{ D }\left( 1- Avg\,\, Tax\,\,Rate\,\,on\,\,Pre-Tax\,\,Income \right)
 WACCBook   5.69%    0.78%
Enterprise value
EVMarket 91,503 96,245 EV\,=\,Market\,\,Cap\,\,Equity\,+\,\,Long\,\,Term\,\,Debt\,-\,Cash
 EVBook   92,106   96,345
Long-Run Growth
g = IR x ROIC
  -2.23%   14.88% Long-run growth rates of the income variable are used in the Continuing Value portion of the valuation models.
g = % \Delta GDP   2.50%    2.50%
Margin from Operations M   33.12%   34.39% M\,\,=\,\,\frac{EBIT}{SALES}
Depreciation/Amortization Rate D   40.57%   40.10% D\,\,=\,\,\frac{D+A}{EBITDA}

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Valuation Multiple Outcomes

The outcomes presented in this study are the result of original input data, derived data, and synthesized inputs.

Equational Form

Observed Value

Single-stage

multiple g solution

Two-stage valuation

model g solution

12/31/2015 12/31/2016 12/31/2015 12/31/2016 12/31/2015 12/31/2016

EV/SALES 

\frac {EV}{Sales} \,= \,\frac{ROIC\,  -\,  g}{ROIC\,(WACC\,-\,g)}\,(1\,-\,T)\,(M)

 17  17.77 7.41%  5.72%  7.34%  5.64%

EV/EBITDA

\frac {EV}{EBITDA} \,= \,\frac{ROIC\,  -\,  g}{ROIC\,(WACC\,-\,g)}\,(1\,-\,T)\,(1\,-\,D)

.37 30.94 7.41% 5.72% 7.34% 5.64%

EV/NOPLAT

\frac {EV}{NOPLAT} \,= \,\frac{ROIC\,  -\,  g}{ROIC\,(WACC\,-\,g)}

31.16 79.47 7.41% 5.72% 7.34% 5.64%

EV/FCFOPS

\frac {EV}{FCF_{OPS}} \,= \,\frac{ROIC\,  -\,  g}{ROIC\,(WACC\,-\,g)}\,(1\,-\,T)

80.66 30.97 7.41% 5.72% 7.34% 5.64%

EV/EBIT

\frac {EV}{EBIT} \,= \,\frac{ROIC\,  -\,  g}{ROIC\,(WACC\,-\,g)}\,(1\,-\,T)

32.39 51.65 7.41% 5.72% 7.34% 5.64%

EV/IC

\frac {EV}{IC} \,= \,\frac{ROIC\,  -\,  g}{WACC\,-\,g}

3.30 3.09 7.41% 5.72% 7.34% 5.64%

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